UFC 169 goes down live this Saturday night for the first PPV of the 2014 calendar. Two title fights followed by a very intriguing heavyweight showdown. Now my partner in MMA will be breaking down each fight later on the site. I am here however to breakdown the key main event. This main event has had changes to it throughout the making of this card. This is the UFC annual super bowl weekend card that is usually stacked. This card is good, but with the names on this card I am interested in it.
I do not think however it will be one to remember. The lower weight fights are interesting but by the time you get to the championship rounds, it gets a bit repetitive and drawn out. This fight card is what I am talking about in retrospect with the fights being entertainment, but I do not see a ton of finishes on it. With the main event being Renan Barao (c) vs. Urijah Faber and looking at Faber’s track record.
In his last four title fights (UFC & WEC) he has been dominated and went all five rounds leading to be defeated by Decision. With that being in mind, can I really expect this to be a barn burner? Do I really think Faber can beat Barao even with his last four fights that he has won? The two are almost equal physically with a 66 reach and the same weight class obviously. Faber has more of a finishes record with a combined knock out and submission victories. Barao has more decisions in his career.
Also with Faber having strike accuracy (42%) compared to (36%). On the ground not only does Barao have a better take down success rating in accuaracy and average. He has a 95% takedown defense. For Faber who loves to go to the ground and get submissions, this will be very hard to do. That was one problem in their prevous fight.
I will give Faber this, he has finished his last 3-4 fights via submission. Urijah Faber is the most well-known for his WEC days which he successfully defended it five times in a row over fighters like Dominick Cruz, Jens Pulver. Out of five, there are only two well-known fighters on his record. Also throw in that it was back in 2007 that he was champion. Since he lost to the belt to Mike Brown in 2008, he has gone 9-4 and 6-2 since being in the UFC. No doubt Faber has been on a hot streak, but with past history I am not sure he can out duel his opponent.
Renan Barao is a beast to say the least (Rhyming) he is 31-1 in his MMA career with seven wins coming by KO, fourteen by submission and ten coming from decision. His last two fights have been wins over Eddie Wineland and Michael McDonald. He has finished both fighters. Barao is the favorite going into this fight with most fans and for good reason.
The two fought back in 2012 and Renan Barao dominated Faber in a five round boredom fest. Should I add that not only did Barao beat him via Decision, but it was the famous Calgary, Alberta, Canada that had 3 finishes out of 11 fights. They did however with a very weak under-card popped a 235,000 buyrate. Folks do think this is going to be a spectacular fight. It will be a grind fight that will test not only their skill set, but their endurance.
Prediction: Renan Barao (c) vs. Urijah Faber via Unanimous decision (49–46, 49-46, 49–46)