In case you haven’t been paying attention, MMA math-style UFC predictions have been on absolute fire recently, going 3-1 at the recent UFC on Fox 5. Now, the complex algorithm is put back to the test for one of the UFC’s biggest cards of the year, UFC 155. In case you have forgotten, MMA math is a proven theory that says if Fighter A beats Fighter B, and Fighter B beats Fighter C, then Fighter A will beat Fighter C. Without further ado, here are the UFC 155 predictions for the main card, MMA math style.
Derek Brunson vs. Chris Leben
Before crunching the numbers, I had thought that this fight would be tough to call. Brunson is coming in on very short notice, and does not have a lot of MMA experience to draw from. However, the results came out pretty cleanly. It should be noted, however, that Brunson’s deciding loss to Kendall Grove was a questionable (to say the least) split decision. Not sure if this will throw off the end-result.
- Leben beat Jay Silva at UFC Fight Night: Maynard vs. Diaz
- Silva beat Kendall Grove at Superior Cage Combat 4
- Grove beat Brunson at ShoFight 20
Projected Winner: Chris Leben
Alan Belcher vs. Yushin Okami
You may be wondering why the formula is even needed here, considering that Okami holds a previous win over Belcher. Such a wonder would be foolish, however, because the formula requires three fighters, not just the two. If we could rely on a fighter beating a fighter only because he beat him before, MMA would be pointless, and GSP would have never gotten by Matts Hughes and Serra. Unfortunately for Belcher, however, the formula does not play out any more in his favor.
- Okami beat Mark Munoz at UFC Live: Jones vs. Janitor
- Munoz beat C.B. Dalloway at UFC Live: Sanchez vs. Kampmann
- Dalloway beat Jesse Taylor at TUF Finale
- Taylor beat Denis Kang at Battlefield Fight League 8
- Kang beat Marvin Eastman at Raw Combat: Redemption
- Eastman beat Belcher at WEF: Enid (I don’t know either)
Projected Winner: Yushin Okami
Tim Boetsch vs. Constantinos Philippou
Here is another relatively short notice fight, as Philippou is stepping in for the injured Chris Weidman. Somehow, Boetsch has transformed himself from a middle of the road light heavyweight to a force in the middleweight division. Quite impressive, to say the least. Looks like the math points to his success continuing at UFC 155.
- Boetsch beat Kendall Grove at UFC 130
- Grove beat Ed Herman at the TUF 3 Finale
- Herman beat Tim Credeur at the TUF 13 Finale
- Credeur beat Nick Catone at UFC Fight Night: Condit vs. Kampmann
- Catone beat Philippou at UFC 128
Joe Lauzon vs. Jim Miller
Other than the main event, this is the fight I am looking most forward to. I guess that’s why it’s the “Co-Main Event.” If this fight isn’t filled with action for as long as it lasts then I will eat my hat. Both of these guys have endless motors, and I can’t envision any way that this isn’t awesome. Along those lines, MMA math predicts a close bout, but eventually picks a winner.
- Lauzon beat Jamie Varner at UFC on Fox 4
- Varner beat Drew Fickett at XFC 16
- Fickett beat Josh Neer at Ultimate Fight Night 1
- Neer beat Joe Stevenson at Ultimate Fight Night 4
- Stevenson beat Nate Diaz at the TUF US vs. UK Finale
- Diaz beat Miller at UFC on Fox 3
Projected Winner: Joe Lauzon
Junior dos Santos vs. Cain Velasquez
As with Okami-Belcher, it isn’t as easy saying that JDS beat Velasquez once, so he surely will again. In fact, the MMA math tells a different story. This one is especially close, and requires going outside the UFC and using personal favorite Sokoudjou. After doing so, the formula predicts a new champion this Saturday night.
- Velasquez beat Cheick Kongo at UFC 99
- Kongo beat Matt Mitrione at UFC 137
- Mitrione beat Kimbo Slice at UFC 113
- Slice beat Houston Alexander at the TUF 10 Finale
- Alexander beat Sokoudjou at Shark Fights 13
- Sokoudjou beat Joaquim Ferreira at Impact FC 1
- Ferreira beat dos Santos at MTL – Final
Projected Winner: Cain Velasquez